In about one month’s time, unless something radical changes on the ground, the Palestinians are going to bring their request for recognition of statehood to the UN. Both Israel and the US are extremely opposed to this action for a number of reasons, chief amongst them the fact that the Palestinians have not built any of the institutions required for a functioning state, and the fact that the existence of a Palestinian state will effectively make any peace negotiations between it and Israel moot. This is a sure recipe for more violence and war, since the borders of this purported state of Palestine will not have been fixed and will be fought over as before. The Jerusalem Post blog “Warped Mirror” has an excellent analysis of the matter and the trouble it is going to cause.
The Israeli media are full of worried commentaries warning about the “tsunami” of world-wide support for Palestinian efforts to secure UN recognition of a state in the fictional 1967 “borders.”Never mind that these borders “have no basis in history, law, or fact,” and never mind that by rewarding the Palestinians for their refusal to work for the achievement of a negotiated solution, the UN would undermine numerous resolutions and agreements that it previously endorsed as binding.One has to acknowledge that the Palestinians have accomplished no mean feat: they have managed to convince much of the world that fact-based rational views and considerations should count for nothing when it comes to the Palestinian narrative of oppression and victimhood. They also have managed to convince much of the world that this saddest of all narratives can have a fairy-tale happy ending: if the “international community” steps in to resolve the Palestinian plight, peace and harmony will prevail in the Middle East and beyond.Back in the real world, the past few weeks have provided plenty of evidence that grimly illustrates what kind of peace and harmony the “international community” is going to promote by endorsing the Palestinian strategy to get what they want without negotiations.For starters, there is the already impressively long “List of Palestinian rocket attacks on Israel, 2011” which is readily available at Wikipedia. …This is just one of many examples demonstrating that, as far as Hamas is concerned, all of Israel is populated by “settlers” – who of course all make legitimate targets for the noble Islamic resistance.…Western pundits and politicians may be transfixed by Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad and his dedicated efforts to build the institutional infrastructure for a Palestinian state, but polls show consistently that Fayyad cannot be regarded as a popular politician. At the same time, it is clear that despite its dismal record in Gaza, Hamas and its vicious ideology of anti-Jewish violence remain popular with up to a third of Palestinians.Another conveniently overlooked fact is the often repeated assertion by Palestinian officials that until there is a “just” resolution for the millions of Palestinians who are classified with international approval as “refugees”, the Palestinians will feel justified to engage in “armed struggle” against Israel.
Indeed, it is quite revealing that, while Palestinian officials claim to be ready for statehood and travel the world to collect endorsements for their state, they haven’t yet shown any interest whatsoever in the “refugee camps” under their own jurisdiction.
There are many other voices of doom warning Israel of the danger of time running out, and how she should rush to make peace with the Palestinians – as if this peace was dependent on Israel’s actions alone, and as if none of Israel’s peace initiatives and territorial withdrawals have ever been met with peace or acceptance.
With revolutionary fervor sweeping the Middle East, Israel is under mounting pressure to make a far-reaching offer to the Palestinians or face a United Nations vote welcoming the State of Palestine as a member whose territory includes all of the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem.
The Palestinian Authority has been steadily building support for such a resolution in September, a move that could place Israel into a diplomatic vise. Israel would be occupying land belonging to a fellow United Nations member, land it has controlled and settled for more than four decades and some of which it expects to keep in any two-state solution.
Other reports detail the steps that the US might take to prevent or deter the Palestinians from the headlong rush to pseudo-independence:
Susan Rice, the American ambassador to the UN, said there was “no greater threat” to US support and funding of the UN than the prospect of Palestinian statehood being endorsed by member states.
In this connection, I received an insightful article (see PDF below) summarizing Israel’s strategic value to the US at the moment, and what is liable to happen if the Palestinians gain independent statehood without a peace negotiation with Israel. The article was written by Mark Langfan, a New York based attorney who is a pro-Israel activist and has written several articles and compiled presentations about Israel’s security which you can find on his website.
It makes for very worrying reading and all these articles taken together should encourage all of us to make sure our politicians vote against Palestinian statehood when and if it comes to the UN vote.